In 2011 the Obama administration sold the Korea-U.S. Free Trade Agreement (KORUS) by promising “more exports, more jobs”. The U.S. Trade Representative’s website on KORUS still offers those promises. It still says right there the agreement “means countless new opportunities for U.S. exporters to sell more Made-in-America goods, services, and agricultural products to Korean customers – and to support more good jobs here at home.”
So how has that worked out? New data is in on trade with South Korea and the numbers are really bad. Really bad. Public Citizen’s Eyes on Trade has looked at the data and a post up showing what the numbers mean:
● The U.S. goods trade deficit with South Korea has increased 115 percent, or $16 billion, in the first four years of the Korea FTA (comparing the year before it took effect to the fourth year data).
● This increase in the trade deficit with Korea equates to the loss of more than 106,000 American jobs in the first four years of the Korea FTA, counting both exports and imports, according to the trade-jobs ratio that the Obama administration used to promise job gains from the deal.
● Since the FTA took effect, U.S. average monthly exports to Korea have fallen in 11 of the 15 U.S. sectors that export the most to Korea, relative to the year before the FTA.
● Exports of machinery and computer/electronic products, collectively comprising 28.6 percent of U.S. exports to Korea, have fallen 22.6 and 6.6 percent respectively under the FTA.
● U.S. goods exports to Korea have dropped 9 percent, or $4.4 billion, under the Korea FTA’s first four years.
Automobile trade data also just came out. (Note: This had not yet posted at Global Trade Watch as of Thursday at 2 p.m. Eastern.)
● The U.S. trade deficit with Korea in passenger vehicles grew 66 percent. U.S. imports of passenger vehicles from Korea has increased by 69 percent, or by an additional 597,607 vehicles by the fourth year of the Korea FTA on top of the 862,789 vehicles sold to the United States by Korea before the FTA. This import flood dwarfed the 36,580 increase in U.S. passenger vehicles that the United States exported to Korea by the fourth year of the pact.
These numbers represent real damage to our economy, jobs, wages (all those people are competing for the remaining jobs now), and — and this is important to our country’s future in the long run — to our manufacturing ecosystem. As factories close, the suppliers go under; the experience, education and training system for how to run the factory moves away; the industries’ design and innovation knowledge migrates out of the country.
This is what happened with the KORUS agreement. Sold as “jobs” but in reality jobs and factories and knowledge move away. But a few Wall Street types get to pocket the wage differential in the short term, so they pay politicians and “think tanks” to support this “free trade” ideology.
Trade is supposed to be about people in areas where bananas can grow being able to get things from areas where they can’t. But “free trade” is not about “trade” at all. It is about Wall Street shareholders moving jobs out of the US to places where workers are exploited and governments let companies pollute. Then they pocket the wage and environmental protection cost differential and the resulting loss of jobs pits the remaining workers against each other, driving down American wages. Hence the terrible inequality we see today.
This isn’t “trade” and the countries where we send the jobs and factories do not “trade” with us. It is entirely about “lowering costs” so the workers there do not make enough to buy things made here. The result of “free trade” is that the US has had a trade deficit every single year since “free trade” ideology was sold to us in the 1970s. Working people’s wages have not increased since “free trade.” Inequality has soared. Democracy has declined.
The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was modeled on the KORUS agreement. The TPP is also being sold to us with a promise of increased exports and jobs. Over and over it is sold by telling us “95 percent of the world lives outside the US and we have to trade with them” as if we were not already trading with the world. Things like that …
But like KORUS, TPP is really about something else. It not only will send more jobs to places like Vietnam; it will increase the trade deficit because people making incredibly low wages will not be buying things made here. Like KORUS, TPP is about driving American wages down, and elevating the giant multinational corporations above the ability of sovereign governments to bring them under control.
This week President Obama penned a Washington Post op-ed, “The TPP would let America, not China, lead the way on global trade,” pushing the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) with similar promises, writing, “Simply put, once the TPP is in place, American businesses will export more of what they make. And that means supporting more higher-paying jobs.” Obama even implies that without TPP we won’t be able to trade with Asian nations at all, writing that “building walls to isolate ourselves from the global economy would only isolate us from the incredible opportunities it provides.”
What We Need Instead
If “free trade” deals like TPP were actually good for us, would supporters have to sell them with trickery like this? The record of these Wall Street driven, “trade” deals, negotiated using a rigged, corporate-dominated process, is clear. Enormous, humongous and continuing trade deficits are a metric that measures the loss of jobs, factories, wages, living standards, devastation of entire regions of our country, rapidly increasing inequality and decline of democracy.
What we need is a step back. We need to withdraw from the rigged deals and begin anew with a process that brings labor, consumer, environmental, human rights and other groups to the negotiating table along with the corporate sector. Then, in an open, transparent and accountable process, we can negotiate trade deals that actually lift people and economies on all sides of the trade borders.
P.S. Public Citizen’s Global Trade Watch is asking people to: “Tell your representative to oppose the TPP and support a new trade model that puts people before profits.”