Progressive Breakfast for May 3

Morning Message

Indiana’s Carrier Factory Cuts Focused The “Trade” Election Issue

Sometimes an event comes along that crystallizes people’s awareness of an issue ... The layoffs at the Indianapolis Carrier air conditioner factory are an example of this kind of event ... In February air-conditioner manufacturer Carrier, a wing of United Technologies, announced that beginning next year it will move its Indianapolis production to Mexico and lay off the company’s U.S. workers ... United Technologies reported $7.6 billion in profits for 2015 ... While the economic picture moves many voters toward both Sanders and Trump, it appears that Sanders is the one getting much of the support of the Carriers workers themselves...

Burning Issues: Pentagon Spending Out of Control?

Danielle Brian, the executive director of the Project on Government Oversight, highlights the reasons why our Pentagon budget is so bloated in this Burning Issues segment.

Last Gasp For Cruz?

Trump expected to win Indiana today. W. Post: “Trump has been buoyed in Indiana by two main forces. First, his populist message about trade deals that hurt workers and a ‘rigged’ and ‘corrupt’ political system has resonated in a state whose manufacturing economy is hollowing out … Trump also is benefitting from his newfound aura of inevitability.”

Ted Cruz’s social conservatism out of step for Indiana Republicans. Politico: “…vast swaths of the state’s Republican electorate, from Indianapolis to West Lafayette, have retreated from the culture wars. And like the 50s-era diner itself, Cruz’s dogged socially conservative message seems anachronistic—and perhaps a little tin-eared—to these fiscally conservative, socially liberal Republicans…”

Trump would strike bilateral trade deals. W. Post quotes: “I don’t mind making agreements, but we shouldn’t make agreements with 12 countries …. We should make agreements with one-on-one. One-on-one. One-on-one. And you know what? If they don’t treat us right, we pull the agreement.”

Tight Race For Dems

Dem primary in Indiana a “nailbiter.” Politico: “She’s got strong support from the state’s top Democrats, but Sanders has an ace in the hole: Indiana’s open primary … And the college towns Sanders has visited are treasure troves of young voters … Sanders’ campaign has also sought to rally support from organized labor…”

Clinton criticized by laid-off coal miner during WV roundtable. WSJ: “‘I just want to know how you can say you’re going to put a lot of coal miners out of jobs and then come in here and tell us how you’re going to be our friend,’ [Bo] Copley said … In March, she predicted that coal companies would be put out of business during a Clinton administration … Mrs. Clinton said she meant to suggest that the area was on a path to continued job losses, but that she would act to boost the economy in this depressed region … Copley remained unconvinced … but he will be voting in the Republican primary.”

Politico explores “How Bernie Changed Hillary”: “‘You can see in her rhetoric and positioning that Hillary Clinton has heard [his] message loud and clear,’ said political strategist David Axelrod, … her rhetoric toward Wall Street — home to many of her top donors — has become increasingly hotter … And she has critiqued corporations by vowing to go after price-gouging pharmaceutical companies.”

Mr. Sanders has exposed a broad vein of discontent that Democrats cannot ignore says the NYT edit board.

Clinton’s proposals would not add much to the deficit. The Hill: “The former secretary of State’s proposals would cost $1.8 trillion over 10 years with interest and would be almost completely paid for by $1.6 trillion of offsets. The $200 billion gap may be more than fully covered by a corporate tax reform plan whose specifics have yet to be released …”

Breakfast Sides

Cities try to sue banks for mortgage crisis. The Atlantic’s Alana Semuels: “…municipalities including Los Angeles, Miami, Oakland, and Providence all filed lawsuits against lenders under the Fair Housing Act … banks are fighting to have [them] dismissed … the much, much bigger question at stake is whether the cities even have standing to bring the cases. If they do, that will be a nightmare for banks, which could face lawsuits from every corner of the country…”

Birmingham fights to keep voter-enacted $10.10 minimum wage. NYT: “Earlier this year [the] all-white majority of the state legislature joined forces with the state’s white governor to deny the stated will of a majority-black city. Birmingham has struck back. A federal civil rights lawsuit filed last week by the Alabama NAACP and other plaintiffs asserts that the nullification bill was motivated by racism and, as such, violates the Equal Protection clause of the United States Constitution.”

Colorado Supreme Court strikes down local fracking bans. NYT: “In separate rulings, the court said a moratorium in Fort Collins and a ban in Longmont were invalid because state law pre-empted them. A lower court had reached the same conclusion earlier..”

Obama touts Garland in local TV interviews. Politico: “Obama spoke to outlets from states with Republican Senate incumbents — Iowa (Chuck Grassley), New Hampshire (Kelly Ayotte), Ohio (Rob Portman), Wisconsin (Ron Johnson), Arizona (John McCain) and Missouri (Roy Blunt) — about what he described as an ‘unprecedented’ process.”