The Four Unknowns On Election Day

The only unknowns are whether: Hillary Clinton can break 50 percent of the popular vote, Gary Johnson can break 5 percent, Evan McMullin can win Utah’s 6 electoral votes, Democrats can claim the Senate or even the House.
Bill Scher
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Caution: Handle Polls With Care

We're at the stage of the election where obsession with the latest polls reaches its peak. Yet it is also the stage when polls can stop informing about the electorate and start warping the electorate.
Bill Scher
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Donald Trump’s Smear of Lyndon Johnson

Donald J. Trump said LyndonB. Johnson "wanted to silence the church" because "he was having a problem with either one or more churches." It's not true. Here are the facts.
Bill Scher
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The Biggest Spender Backing Donald Trump? The NRA.

Why is Donald Trump pandering so hard to "the Second Amendment people"? Possibly because the National Rifle Association is the biggest financial backer of his campaign.
Bill Scher
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Why Trump Can’t Get Over 45%

The Trump campaign has been a test to see if the Republican Party can still win as an essentially all-white party with a platform rooted in racial grievance. All the evidence says it cannot.
Bill Scher
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The Need To Separate Trump From Populism

If Trump is more associated with populism than Clinton, and then loses decisively in November, populism could be tainted by Trumpism, weakening the left’s leverage over Clinton.
Bill Scher
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Can Hillary Get Away With Hugging Obama?

Clinton is not selling herself as an agent of abrupt change. She is positioning herself as a conduit of steady change, in contrast to, Donald Trump, who might bring change like a tornado, leveling all in its wake.
Bill Scher
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Remembering The First Clinton Bounce

As some declare Democrats disunited after the first night of boisterous disruptions from some Bernie Sanders delegates, 1992 is a reminder that even a somewhat fractious convention can still end on a high note.
Bill Scher
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This Is What a Broken Party Looks Like

America saw a divided party last night, though what it was divided over wasn't evident if you haven't been paying close attention. They are mainly divided over whether the party should accept America's multiculturalism or fight it.
Bill Scher
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Donald Trump Is Wrong. Crime Is Down. Way Down.

The rate of violent crime is at a 45-year low. The murder rate is the lowest since 1957. Let's not allow the Donald Trumps of the world peddle excuses for bad police behavior on the grounds that crime is out of control, when it's not.
Bill Scher
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61% “Uneasy” About Trump and International Trade

A new The Economist/YouGov poll asked "Are you confident or uneasy about the following presidential candidates’ ability to deal wisely with international trade?" The numbers might surprise you.
Bill Scher
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Big Climate Win In The Senate, But The Battle Is Not Over

A Senate committee approves money for a climate fund. Deep down, Republicans seem to know that it is a political loser with the broad middle of the country to sabotage the president from acting on climate change.
Bill Scher
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Veepstakes: Tim Kaine’s Troubles With The Left

Now Hillary Clinton knows what message a Sen. Tim Kaine nomination will send to Bernie Sanders voters; the question remains if that's the message she wants to send.
Bill Scher
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The Tax Debate Is Over, and Progressives Won

Time and time again, tax cuts for the wealthy have proved ineffectual at sparking robust growth, while responsible budgeting that includes tax increases on the wealthy has repeatedly contributed to economic progress.
Bill Scher
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Nobody Cares About Paul Ryan’s Conservative Rehash

Ryan has served up cold conservative porridge. Nothing that showed any lessons learned from the failed conservatism of the past. Nothing that went beyond hack anti-Obama talking points.
Bill Scher
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Paul Ryan Is No Better Than Donald Trump For The Climate

Ryan new anti-regulatory package willfully ignores that the planet "has been made considerably worse by the addition of global warming," requiring action to make the planet better. But what do you expect? He's voting for Donald Trump.
Bill Scher
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If Anything Can Unite the Democrats, It’s Climate

Even if you are convinced that Clinton's climate platform is insufficient, the logical course of action is not to let the Oval Office become occupied by someone who calls global warming a "hoax."
Bill Scher
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Trump Has No Use For Dog Whistles

Donald Trump's brazen racism, in addition to being immoral and appalling, is political malpractice. He is so consumed by racism that he can't contain it. He is blinded by it, and is incapable of rational political decision-making.
Bill Scher
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Trump Would Be a Climate Killer

Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders both accept climate science and propose policies based on science that would cut carbon pollution. Donald Trump, on the other hand, is pure poison for the planet. Period.
Bill Scher
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Trump Can’t Spin His Greed

Trump brags about sucking the wealth from the lower-income to line his own pockets, and nothing in his stated policies suggests a Trump administration would be any different.
Bill Scher
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Trump’s Trade Con

If he's willing to lower the corporate tax rate to strengthen our negotiating position, what's stopping him from lowering the federal minimum wage as well? Why assume his version of a "good deal" would try to lift wages worldwide?
Bill Scher
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“Populist” Trump Wants To Deregulate Wall Street

For a guy who claims he can win the votes of Bernie Sanders' supporters, he has an odd way of going about it. Going backwards on Wall Street reform is hardly the best approach to win over Bernie's populist following.
Bill Scher
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