This Year’s Budget Fight Isn’t About The Budget

There are many reasons why the next budget fight will be more difficult than any of the close-to-debacles that have occurred in recent years. This year the biggest complication is that the budget fight isn't about the budget. It's about Obamacare.
Stan Collender
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#cliffgate Officially Begins Next Tuesday

As I've said before, I'm calling the end of this year's debate two things: budget bedlam and "#cliffgate." No matter which name you use, it will begin when Congress returns to Washington next week.
Stan Collender
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Budget Bedlam This Fall

August actually is a pretty good time to be in Washington. Here are the key elements about what's ahead...or not ahead...on the budget when Congress returns to Washington in September.
Stan Collender
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What If You Gave A Midsession Budget Review And Nobody Noticed?

In this era when almost all federal budget process deadlines are routinely missed or completely ignored, it's hard to believe that the fiscal 2014 mid-session review of the budget was released yesterday, a full week ahead of the July 15 statutory deadline.
Stan Collender
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Are 4th of July Parades Wasteful Government Spending?

I posted back in April about how some businesses in Colorado were doing the equivalent of voluntarily paying additional taxes when the sequester spending cuts forced Yellowstone National Park not to do its customary spring snow removal on park roads.
Stan Collender
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National Confidence Ratings For Congress Don’t Matter When It Comes To The Budget

You would think that this poll showing "Americans' confidence in Congress is not only at its lowest point on record, but also is the worst Gallup has ever found for any institution it has measured since 1973" would be so embarrassing to those on Capital Hill that they would take immediate steps to c...
Stan Collender
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Why The Sequester Really Happened (Hint It Has Nothing To Do With The Deficit)

How did the sequester happen? How is it possible that what supposedly was the worst possible way to cut the deficit somehow became what actually happened? Over the weekend Ezra Klein, in a much retweeted blog post that was the talk of large parts of the political blogosphere, said that the GOP was n...
Stan Collender
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New Bowles-Simpson Plan Is Just More BS

A quick post about the new Bowles-Simpson plan that was announced yesterday because that’s all it deserves: It’s a total nonstarter. (If you haven’t heard about it, here’s Jeanne Sahadi’s story […]
Stan Collender
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What’s Now Happening On Federal Budget is Worse Than The Fiscal Cliff

This month’s budget breakfast group meeting was even more extraordinary than usual for one reason: The same people who typically analyze what’s ahead on the budget with remarkable precision months before it happens all basically admitted that the current situation is as complex, hard to read, an...
Stan Collender
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A Budget Crystal Ball for 2013

Given my stellar record for 2012, I should probably retire now while I’m at the top of my game. Not taking my own advice, here are my fearless budget forecasts for 2013.
Stan Collender
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Chance Of Going Over The Cliff Now At Least 75%

With 17 days as the crow flies before it happens, it's time for me to do something I've been resisting for a week or so: formally increase my odds that we'll go over rather than avoid the fiscal cliff.
Stan Collender
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Boehner Really In The Hot Seat On Hurricane Sandy Aid

Originally posted at Capital Gains and Games. I first posted about the budget dilemma Hurricane Sandy presented to congressional Republicans in general and House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) on October 31. At that time I said there were three questions. The questions are now starting to be answered.
Stan Collender
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Fiscal Cliff Showing Many GOP Budget Beliefs To Be Myths

Without the White House and House Republicans seeing eye to eye — and they still definitely don’t — we’re no closer to a deal to stop the fiscal cliff than we were before the start of the Thanksgiving recess.
Stan Collender
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There Will Be No Quick Fiscal Cliff Deal

Congressional Republicans in general and House GOP'ers in particular have been saying since Election Day 2010 that the Gingrich Republicans of the mid-1990s compromised too early with Bill Clinton on the budget and would have gotten much better deals if they had only held out longer.
Stan Collender
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Is Wall Street Really This Clueless About The Fiscal Cliff?

Originally published at Capital Gains and Games. The Dow Jones Industrials Average was in negative territory on Friday morning when congressional leaders emerged from their first fiscal cliff meeting at […]
Stan Collender
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Election Did Not Change The Fiscal Cliff Outlook

Originally posted at Capital Gains and Games. Last week’s election results did not change my opinion that we’re more likely to go over the fiscal cliff than to avoid it. […]
Stan Collender
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Beware of CEOs Bearing Budget Gifts

The mainstream media and blogosphere lit up like Christmas trees yesterday when 80 CEOs came together to call on Congress and the president to agree on a comprehensive deficit reduction […]
Stan Collender
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